5

Summer Sunshine

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 10

Durbanville · Join The Race Coast Turf Club Maiden Plate (F & M) · 7f 210y

#8

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

125/1, twelfth of 14 in maiden at Kenilworth (6f, good to soft) 32 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Difficult ask.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Durbanville 18/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 13218/07C8C8 @ Kenilworth 15/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12815/08C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Kenilworth?12th12th0
2026-07-18Durbanville?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/202610th50/10%10%+0.10
15/08/202612th125/10%15%+0.15