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Victoria Cross

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 49

Durbanville · Join The Race Coast Turf Club Maiden Plate (F & M) · 7f 210y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

40/1, seventh of 14 in maiden at Kenilworth (6f, good to soft) 32 days ago. Significantly up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Durbanville 18/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 12618/07C8C8 @ Kenilworth 15/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12815/08C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Kenilworth?7th7th0
2026-07-18Durbanville?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%

Delivery trend +42.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20269th28/10%11%+0.11
15/08/20267th25/10%54%+0.54