4

Augusta Rouge

3yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 18

Durbanville · Lucky Fish Hot Hot Fruit Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

100/1, last of 11 in maiden at Kenilworth (6.2f, good to soft) 35 days ago. Up in trip. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 12/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12812/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Kenilworth?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 9-14 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/202611th40/10%0%0.00