6

Cannon Bolt

3yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 67

Durbanville · Lucky Fish Hot Hot Fruit Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

8/1, first run since leaving H. J. Brown when seventh of 16 in maiden at Scottsville (6f, good) 49 days ago. Significantly up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 18/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13218/04C8C8 @ Scottsville 29/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12629/07C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Scottsville?7th7th0
2026-04-18Kenilworth?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0429/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength32%

Delivery trend -23.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/20269th50/10%20%+0.20
29/07/20267th7/163%60%-0.03