2

Catch Me

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 76

Durbanville · Lucky Fish Hot Hot Fruit Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

92%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Second of 8 in maiden (2/1) at Kenilworth (8f, good to soft) 35 days ago. Looks competitive on form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength25%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC3 @ Kenilworth 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f103y Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS3/05C3C8 @ Kenilworth 02/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1262/06C8C8 @ Kenilworth 23/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13223/06C8C8 @ Kenilworth 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f210y GS 12612/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Kenilworth?2nd2nd0
2026-06-23Kenilworth?2nd2nd0
2026-06-02Kenilworth?3rd3rd0
2026-05-03Kenilworth?6th0th+5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/052/0623/0612/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength77%

Delivery trend -6.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20266th50/10%17%+0.17
02/06/20263rd15/261%67%+0.06
23/06/20262nd7/491%91%+0.00
12/08/20262nd2/189%86%-0.04