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3

Dark Fortune

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 45

Durbanville · Lucky Fish Hot Hot Fruit Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sixth of 7 in maiden (66/1) at this C&D (good) 25 days ago. Easy to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 19/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13219/05C8C8 @ Kenilworth 21/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12621/06C8C8 @ Durbanville 25/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 12625/07C8C8 @ Durbanville 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12622/08C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Durbanville?6th6th0
2026-07-25Durbanville?7th7th0
2026-06-21Kenilworth?9th9th0
2026-05-19Kenilworth?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0521/0625/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength29%

Delivery trend +7.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/05/202612th50/10%0%0.00
21/06/20269th80/10%0%0.00
25/07/20267th100/10%25%+0.25
22/08/20266th80/10%17%+0.17