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7

Edictal Citation

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 51

Durbanville · Lucky Fish Hot Hot Fruit Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#6

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ninth of 10 in maiden (125/1) at Kenilworth (7f, good to soft) 42 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 23/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13223/06C8C8 @ Durbanville 07/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1327/07C8C8 @ Kenilworth 05/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1265/08C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Kenilworth?9th9th0
2026-07-07Durbanville?6th6th0
2026-06-23Kenilworth?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/067/075/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%

Delivery trend -0.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/06/20269th16/116%27%+0.11
07/07/20266th33/10%38%+0.38
05/08/20269th80/10%11%+0.11