5

You Made Me Look

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 75

Durbanville · Lucky Fish Hot Hot Fruit Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

33/10, third of 7 in minor event at this C&D (good) 64 days ago. Expected to be bang there.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 27/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13227/04C8C8 @ Kenilworth 24/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 13224/05C8C8 @ Durbanville 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13214/07C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Durbanville?3rd3rd0
2026-05-24Kenilworth?6th6th0
2026-04-27Kenilworth?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0424/0514/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%

Delivery trend -30.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20265th33/10%43%+0.43
24/05/20266th14/126%38%+0.11
14/07/20263rd11/486%67%-0.19