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Zanfan Moris

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 65

Durbanville · Lucky Fish Hot Hot Fruit Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

10/1, fifth of 8 in maiden at Kenilworth (8f, good to soft) 35 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Durbanville 09/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1329/09C8C8 @ Kenilworth 24/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13324/05C8C8 @ Kenilworth 23/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f101y GS 13223/06C8C8 @ Kenilworth 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1325/08C8C8 @ Kenilworth 12/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y GS 13212/08C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Kenilworth?5th5th0
2026-08-05Kenilworth?3rd3rd0
2026-06-23Kenilworth?4th4th0
2026-05-24Kenilworth?2nd2nd0
2025-09-09Durbanville?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0924/0523/065/0812/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength73%

Delivery trend -10.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20257th18/15%14%+0.09
24/05/20262nd18/15%89%+0.84
23/06/20264th5/174%50%-0.24
05/08/20263rd10/147%78%+0.30
12/08/20265th15/261%43%-0.18