5

Born To Master

4yo Gelding · 8-4 · OR 53

Durbanville · Bet With Tote www.tote.co.za C Stakes · 1m 1f 208y

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 9-runner maiden (2/1) at Kenilworth (9f, good to soft) 32 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 9.9 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -3.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Durbanville 17/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 13217/01C8C8 @ Kenilworth 04/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1334/02C8C8 @ Durbanville 18/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 13318/03C8C8 @ Kenilworth 30/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 13230/03C8C8 @ Kenilworth 27/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y GS 11627/04C8C8 @ Durbanville 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 11618/07C8C8 @ Kenilworth 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m209y GS 11815/08C8projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Kenilworth?1st5th4
2026-07-18Durbanville?2nd6th4
2026-04-27Kenilworth?10th14th4
2026-03-30Kenilworth?8th12th4
2026-03-18Durbanville?6th10th4
2026-02-04Kenilworth?7th11th4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0130/0315/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength49%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/01/20269th50/10%27%+0.27
04/02/20267th50/10%40%+0.40
18/03/20266th6/168%17%-0.52
30/03/20268th80/10%13%+0.13
27/04/202610th66/10%10%+0.10
18/07/20262nd14/126%88%+0.61
15/08/20261st15/890%100%+0.10