9
Groovejet
6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 69
Durbanville · Bet With Tote www.tote.co.za C Stakes · 1m 1f 208y
#1
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
39%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#1
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength62%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Kenilworth | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Durbanville | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Kenilworth | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | -1th | +4 |
| 2025-02-08 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-12-18 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2024 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 26/10/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.06 |
| 16/11/2024 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 18/12/2024 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 08/02/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 16/03/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |
| 25/07/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 12/08/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |