3
Superhero
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 64
Durbanville · Bet With Tote www.tote.co.za C Stakes · 1m 1f 208y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength13%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Durbanville | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-07-22 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-06-17 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2024 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 28/12/2024 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 21/05/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 17/06/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 22/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |