6

Tothemoonandback

7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 58

Durbanville · Bet With Tote www.tote.co.za C Stakes · 1m 1f 208y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Seventh of 13 in minor event (50/1) at Kenilworth (9f, good to soft) 42 days ago. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Kenilworth 04/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m4f95y Gd 1194/01C5C5 @ Durbanville 21/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 136C5 @ Kenilworth 25/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m4f95y Gd 12625/02C5C5 @ Durbanville 25/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m3f205y Gd 126C5 @ Kenilworth 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m209y Sft 1263/05C5C5 @ Kenilworth 24/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f153y GS 126C5 @ Kenilworth 02/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f153y GS 1392/06C5C5 @ Durbanville 14/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 138C5 @ Kenilworth 05/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m209y GS 1385/08C5projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Kenilworth?7th7th0
2026-07-14Durbanville?9th9th0
2026-06-02Kenilworth?6th6th0
2026-05-24Kenilworth?6th6th0
2026-05-03Kenilworth?6th6th0
2026-03-25Durbanville?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0125/032/065/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength7%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/01/20262nd9/276%89%+0.13
21/01/20264th11/486%57%-0.28
25/02/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
25/03/20265th7/282%20%-0.62
03/05/20266th66/10%58%+0.58
24/05/20266th50/10%38%+0.38
02/06/20266th11/142%17%-0.25
14/07/20269th8/158%0%-0.58
05/08/20267th40/10%50%+0.50