Cedar Point
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 72
Durbanville · Race Coast Incentives Powered By Hollywoodbets C Stakes · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
72%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Kenilworth | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Durbanville | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Kenilworth | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Durbanville | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-04 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 29/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 04/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |