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Diamond Baron

4yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 35

Durbanville · Race Coast Incentives Powered By Hollywoodbets C Stakes · 6f 211y

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

1 win from 3 runs this year. Winner at Kenilworth in May. 25/1, 11¼ lengths last of 10 to United Front in minor event at this C&D (good) 25 days ago. Uphill task.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength6%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 15/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Hvy 12615/07C8C8 @ Kenilworth 19/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 4f214y GS 13219/05C85 @ Kenilworth 16/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 13616/065C5 @ Durbanville 22/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12922/08C5projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Durbanville?10th10th0
2026-06-16Kenilworth58th9th−1
2026-05-19Kenilworth?1st5th−4
2025-07-15Kenilworth?6th10th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0719/0516/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -19.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20256th22/10%38%+0.38
19/05/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
16/06/20268th15/261%13%-0.48
22/08/202610th20/10%0%0.00