Escarpment
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 61
Durbanville · Race Coast Incentives Powered By Hollywoodbets C Stakes · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Durbanville | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Kenilworth | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Durbanville | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Kenilworth | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kenilworth | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 03/12/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |
| 19/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 05/08/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |