7
Thomas Jenkins
5yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 65
Durbanville · Race Coast Incentives Powered By Hollywoodbets C Stakes · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength48%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Durbanville | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Durbanville | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Durbanville | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-04 | Durbanville | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Durbanville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Kenilworth | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -7.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 24/06/2025 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 04/01/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 04/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |