10

United Front

4yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 72

Durbanville · Race Coast Incentives Powered By Hollywoodbets C Stakes · 6f 211y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 10-runner minor event at this C&D (good, 13/2) 25 days ago by ½ length from Loving Prague. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength49%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Durbanville 18/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12918/10C54 @ Kenilworth 06/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Kenilworth 04/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS4/014C5 @ Kenilworth 31/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1294 @ Kenilworth 25/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS25/0244 @ Scottsville 26/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Greyville 04/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS4/0744 @ Greyville 12/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Durbanville 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13222/08C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Durbanville?1st1st0
2026-07-12Greyville47th6th+1
2026-07-04Greyville49th8th+1
2026-04-26Scottsville46th5th+1
2026-02-25Kenilworth44th3rd+1
2026-01-31Kenilworth?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1031/014/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength53%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/10/20257th7/163%33%-0.30
06/12/20254th14/126%63%+0.36
04/01/20267th9/276%45%-0.31
31/01/20262nd8/158%93%+0.35
25/02/20264th2/189%63%-0.27
26/04/20266th9/488%50%-0.38
04/07/20269th9/276%27%-0.49
12/07/20267th5/174%25%-0.49
22/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26