1

Meg's Legacy

5yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 65

Durbanville · RCS Two Year Old Sale 24 October Class 5 (F & M) · 6f 47y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Latest win at Kenilworth in April. 6/1, good third of 7 in handicap at this C&D (good) 25 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength37%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kenilworth 17/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13017/1255 @ Durbanville 17/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 1305 @ Kenilworth 04/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1304/0255 @ Kenilworth 25/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1305 @ Kenilworth 01/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1281/0455 @ Kenilworth 31/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1324 @ Durbanville 27/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS27/0645 @ Durbanville 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 1325 @ Durbanville 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 13222/085projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Durbanville53rd3rd0
2026-07-18Durbanville54th4th0
2026-06-27Durbanville45th4th+1
2026-05-31Kenilworth510th10th0
2026-04-01Kenilworth51st1st0
2026-02-25Kenilworth58th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1225/0227/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength93%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/12/20254th15/261%63%+0.02
17/01/20268th7/282%22%-0.59
04/02/20263rd7/163%75%+0.12
25/02/20268th4/179%13%-0.66
01/04/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
31/05/202610th8/158%25%-0.33
27/06/20265th16/116%60%+0.44
18/07/20264th13/266%67%+0.01
22/08/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10