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3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 77

Durbanville · RCS Two Year Old Sale 24 October Class 5 (F & M) · 6f 47y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

85%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Didn't need to improve to win 14-runner maiden at Kenilworth (6f, good to soft, 9/4) 32 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 02/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 4f214y GS 1262/06C8C8 @ Kenilworth 23/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13223/06C8C8 @ Durbanville 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 13218/07C8C8 @ Kenilworth 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12815/08C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Kenilworth?1st5th−3
2026-07-18Durbanville?2nd6th−3
2026-06-23Kenilworth?4th8th−3
2026-06-02Kenilworth?4th8th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0623/0618/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +13.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/06/20264th9/276%50%-0.26
23/06/20264th3/184%73%-0.11
18/07/20262nd5/174%90%+0.16
15/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11