7
Take It As Red
4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 53
Durbanville · RCS Two Year Old Sale 24 October Class 5 (F & M) · 6f 47y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength76%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Durbanville | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Kenilworth | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Durbanville | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Kenilworth | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kenilworth | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Kenilworth | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 01/04/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 75% | +0.20 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |