6

Vivo Per Lei

5yo Mare · 8-4 · OR 45

Durbanville · RCS Two Year Old Sale 24 October Class 5 (F & M) · 6f 47y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. One win from 29 Flat runs. 20/1, fourth of 7 in handicap at this C&D (good) 25 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 04/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1204/02C8C8 @ Durbanville 04/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1325 @ Durbanville 25/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 12825/0355 @ Kenilworth 15/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1285 @ Kenilworth 19/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12719/0555 @ Kenilworth 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1255 @ Durbanville 14/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 12214/0755 @ Kenilworth 05/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1205 @ Durbanville 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 11722/085projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Durbanville54th4th0
2026-08-05Kenilworth56th6th0
2026-07-14Durbanville54th4th0
2026-06-21Kenilworth55th5th0
2026-05-19Kenilworth57th7th0
2026-04-15Kenilworth58th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0215/0414/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength70%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/02/20263rd18/15%80%+0.75
04/03/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
25/03/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
15/04/20268th12/137%0%-0.37
19/05/20267th28/10%45%+0.45
21/06/20265th18/15%33%+0.28
14/07/20264th17/255%57%+0.02
05/08/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
22/08/20264th16/116%50%+0.34