7
Behave Harris
4yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 77
Durbanville · Lucky Fish Mystic Fortune Class 4 · 6f 47y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength9%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Durbanville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Durbanville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Durbanville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-12-21 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-11-26 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength73%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 10/07/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 18% | -0.34 |
| 22/09/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 26/11/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 21/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/02/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 31% | -0.38 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |