1
Gold Dust
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 75
Durbanville · Lucky Fish Mystic Fortune Class 4 · 6f 47y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Kenilworth | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Durbanville | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Kenilworth | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-13 | Kenilworth | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Kenilworth | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 13/09/2025 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 05/10/2025 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 10/11/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 13/12/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 13/01/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/07/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 89% | +0.47 |