8
Paratrooper
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 72
Durbanville · Lucky Fish Mystic Fortune Class 4 · 6f 47y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Durbanville | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Greyville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Greyville | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Greyville | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Scottsville | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 31/01/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 22/02/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.16 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 89% | -0.02 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |