1
Dreamworld
4yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 88
Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Middle Stakes · 4f 214y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength63%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Scottsville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Durbanville | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-06-21 | Kenilworth | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2025-05-04 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-03-16 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 16/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 04/05/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 21/06/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 57% | -0.38 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |