5
Flying Finley
5yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 76
Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Middle Stakes · 4f 214y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength65%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Kenilworth | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Durbanville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Kenilworth | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-04 | Durbanville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 15/11/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 06/12/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 30/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |