7
Magical Place
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 79
Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Middle Stakes · 4f 214y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Kenilworth | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Durbanville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kenilworth | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Durbanville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 22/09/2025 | 5th | 6/5 | 94% | 50% | -0.44 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 10/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 19/05/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 22% | -0.46 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 44% | +0.02 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |