9
Shesgotclass
5yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 80
Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Middle Stakes · 4f 214y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Durbanville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kenilworth | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength44%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 21/12/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.06 |
| 22/02/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 06/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 27/04/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 45% | -0.36 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |