12

Heros D'yvel

9yo Gelding · 0-0

Feurs · Prix Pallanche Constructions - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#8

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cavaillon 08/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f121y Std 08/04C?C0 @ Vichy 05/05/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 25/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 025/06C?C0 @ Vichy 02/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Feurs 08/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 08/09C?C0 @ Salon-De-Provence 26/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 15/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 015/11C?C0 @ Vichy 01/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 04 @ Lyon-Parilly 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04/094projClass-projected finish: 14th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Lyon-Parilly46th6th0
2026-08-01Vichy?12th12th0
2025-11-15Lyon-Parilly?7th7th0
2025-10-26Salon-De-Provence?2nd2nd0
2025-09-08Feurs?8th8th0
2025-08-02Vichy?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/042/0815/114/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20255th11/142%73%+0.31
05/05/202513th18/15%20%+0.15
25/06/20256th18/15%55%+0.49
02/08/20258th50/10%42%+0.42
08/09/20258th50/10%42%+0.42
26/10/20252nd16/116%91%+0.75
15/11/20257th5/174%54%-0.20
01/08/202612th22/10%15%+0.15
04/09/20266th20/10%58%+0.58