14
Instinct Saint Bar
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Feurs · Prix Pallanche Constructions - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Les Sables | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Eauze | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-03 | Toulouse | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 87% | +0.18 |
| 05/06/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 20/10/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 02/02/2026 | 16th | 11/1 | 42% | 12% | -0.30 |
| 26/02/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 87% | +0.18 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |