1
Ivan De L'erdre
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Feurs · Prix Pallanche Constructions - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#2
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Les Sables | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Angers | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laval | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Cordemais | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 25/08/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 08/03/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 22/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 87% | +0.18 |
| 12/05/2026 | 8th | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 91% | +0.86 |