4
Jonquille De Meat
7yo Mare · 0-0
Feurs · Prix Pallanche Constructions - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Pornichet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Pornichet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Nantes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Nantes | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laval | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 13/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 20/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 82% | -0.01 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 85% | +0.69 |
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |