12

Incas D'eurvad

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Feurs · Prix Spartan Consulting - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#8

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 23/05/2023 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 023/05C?C0 @ Vichy 09/09/2023 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Lyon La Soie 12/01/2024 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/01C?C0 @ Saint Galmier 11/02/2024 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ Lyon La Soie 28/03/2024 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 028/03C?5 @ Lyon La Soie 17/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 07 @ Saint Galmier 16/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 016/0277 @ Feurs 03/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Divonne Les Bains 09/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 09/08C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Divonne Les Bains?7th7th0
2026-07-03Feurs79th9th0
2026-02-16Saint Galmier73rd3rd0
2026-01-17Lyon La Soie56th6th0
2025-12-13Lyon-Parilly?0
2024-03-28Lyon La Soie?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0511/0216/029/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength47%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20237th20/10%33%+0.33
09/09/20234th12/137%70%+0.33
12/01/20246th40/10%67%+0.67
11/02/20248th40/10%53%+0.53
28/03/20243rd5/174%83%+0.10
17/01/20266th66/10%62%+0.62
16/02/20263rd33/10%85%+0.85
03/07/20269th16/116%11%-0.05
09/08/20267th40/10%60%+0.60