6
Invictus Ellis
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Feurs · Prix Spartan Consulting - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
80%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-09 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Feurs | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 24/06/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/07/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 69% | +0.09 |
| 15/11/2025 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 09/08/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |