IvyArcIvyArc
11

Nunziata

3yo Filly · 0-0

Feurs · Prix Credit Mutuel Forezien - Attele · 1m 3f 13y

#9

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 06/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 06/09C?C0 @ Chartres 25/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 025/11C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 13/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 013/12C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 14/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 014/04C?C0 @ Vichy 04/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 04/05C?5 @ Vichy 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 04/0755 @ Feurs 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 017/075projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Feurs53rd3rd0
2026-07-04Vichy57th7th0
2026-05-04Vichy?7th7th0
2026-04-14Lyon-Parilly?4th4th0
2025-12-13Lyon-Parilly?2nd2nd0
2025-11-25Chartres?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0914/0417/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength55%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20255th12/137%56%+0.19
25/11/20255th16/116%60%+0.44
13/12/20252nd12/137%88%+0.51
14/04/20264th50/10%57%+0.57
04/05/20267th28/10%45%+0.45
04/07/20267th15/261%14%-0.46
17/07/20263rd20/10%78%+0.78