5

Kenyan Blues

6yo Gelding · 10-3

Feurs · Prix Intermarche Feurs-civens - Monte · 1m 6f 36y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 21/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14321/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 29/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 143C0 @ Vincennes 07/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1437/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1436 @ Angers 28/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 14328/0161 @ Vincennes 20/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1435 @ Vincennes 21/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14321/0352 @ Enghien 06/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 05 @ Enghien 13/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 14313/085projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Vincennes40
2026-08-13Enghien52nd2nd0
2026-08-06Enghien28th8th0
2026-03-21Vincennes52nd2nd0
2026-02-20Vincennes16th6th0
2026-01-28Angers63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1114/0121/0313/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength72%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/11/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
29/11/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
07/12/20253rd7/282%78%-0.04
14/01/20263rd4/179%75%-0.04
28/01/20263rd11/271%83%+0.12
20/02/20266th12/137%50%+0.13
21/03/20262nd5/174%88%+0.14
06/08/20268th100/10%22%+0.22
13/08/20262nd10/382%86%+0.03