7

Mesta Atalante

4yo Filly · 0-0

Feurs · Prix Tradibat / Mtp Desamiantage - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#3

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint Galmier 29/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 029/06C?C0 @ Divonne Les Bains 21/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 0C0 @ Lyon La Soie 19/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 019/01C?5 @ Lyon La Soie 29/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 0C0 @ Lyon La Soie 11/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 011/02C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 10/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 010/05C?C0 @ Saint Galmier 21/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 01/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 01/08C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Vichy?8th8th0
2026-07-21Saint Galmier?7th7th0
2026-06-28Saint Galmier?0
2026-05-10Vichy?1st1st0
2026-04-08Lyon-Parilly?6th6th0
2026-03-09Lyon La Soie?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0629/0110/051/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength24%

Delivery trend -4.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20253rd28/10%80%+0.80
21/08/20255th40/10%43%+0.43
19/01/20266th50/10%55%+0.55
29/01/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
11/02/20268th25/10%30%+0.30
08/04/20266th33/10%55%+0.55
10/05/20261st33/10%100%+1.00
21/07/20267th6/168%45%-0.23
01/08/20268th33/10%36%+0.36