5
Ibiza Bella
8yo Mare · 0-0
Feurs · Grand Prix Du Centre Est-prix Paris-turf - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Feurs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Chatelaillon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Vincennes | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 59% | +0.54 |
| 11/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 25/01/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 02/05/2026 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |