7

Lizzy De Joudes

5yo Filly · 0-0

Feurs · Prix Groupe Micholet - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#6

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Feurs 08/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 08/09C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 09/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 0C0 @ Saint Galmier 04/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 04/11C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 15/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05 @ Lyon La Soie 10/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 010/015C0 @ Lyon La Soie 19/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Cavaillon 07/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m4f121y Std 07/04C?C0 @ Vichy 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 03/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 03/06C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-03Marseille-borely?1st1st0
2026-05-11Vichy?2nd2nd0
2026-04-07Cavaillon?1st1st0
2026-03-09Lyon La Soie?0
2026-01-19Lyon La Soie?3rd3rd0
2026-01-10Lyon La Soie53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0915/117/043/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength86%

Delivery trend +5.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/09/202510th25/10%31%+0.31
09/10/20256th33/10%67%+0.67
04/11/20256th9/153%58%+0.06
15/11/20256th50/10%44%+0.44
10/01/20263rd40/10%87%+0.87
19/01/20263rd8/158%83%+0.25
07/04/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
11/05/20262nd28/10%90%+0.90
03/06/20261st11/142%100%+0.58