1

Lupin D'ete

5yo Colt · 0-0

Feurs · Prix Groupe Micholet - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 03/06/2024 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y 03/06C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 18/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 10/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 010/10C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 14/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 12/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 012/05C?C0 @ Vichy 30/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Saint Galmier 21/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 021/11C?C0 @ Saint Galmier 01/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 30/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 030/06C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30Vichy?2nd2nd0
2026-02-01Saint Galmier?3rd3rd0
2025-11-21Saint Galmier?1st1st0
2025-06-30Vichy?1st1st0
2025-05-12Vichy?8th8th0
2025-04-14Lyon-Parilly?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0614/0421/1130/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength56%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/06/20241st4/179%100%+0.21
18/09/20242nd17/255%92%+0.37
10/10/20242nd11/893%90%-0.03
14/04/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
12/05/20258th17/255%42%-0.14
30/06/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
21/11/20251st4/797%100%+0.03
01/02/20263rd15/890%80%-0.10
30/06/20262nd14/126%92%+0.66