2

Keatana Du Metz

6yo Mare · 0-0

Feurs · Prix De La Boulangerie Fages - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#8

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 29/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 029/10C?C0 @ Saint Galmier 23/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f14y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 13/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 013/09C?C0 @ Saint Galmier 04/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ Saint Galmier 01/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 01/02C?C0 @ Vincennes 11/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 31/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 031/03C?6 @ Vichy 18/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 06 @ Feurs 17/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 017/076projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Feurs67th7th0
2026-06-18Vichy610th10th0
2026-03-31Lyon-Parilly?8th8th0
2026-02-11Vincennes?10th10th0
2026-02-01Saint Galmier?1st1st0
2025-11-04Saint Galmier?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/104/1131/0317/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/10/20241st7/163%100%+0.37
23/08/202511th50/10%23%+0.23
13/09/20253rd16/116%85%+0.69
04/11/20254th10/382%73%-0.10
01/02/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
11/02/202610th20/10%36%+0.36
31/03/20268th15/261%53%-0.07
18/06/202610th40/10%18%+0.18
17/07/20267th18/15%33%+0.28