9

Kelroc

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Feurs · Prix De La Boulangerie Fages - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#7

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Nantes 29/05/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 029/05C?C0 @ Chatelaillon 13/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 28/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 028/08C?C0 @ Les Sables 20/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 0C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 22/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 022/12C?6 @ Argentan 06/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Chatelaillon 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 027/07C?C0 @ Chatelaillon 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 16/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 016/08C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Argentan?3rd3rd0
2026-08-03Chatelaillon?4th4th0
2026-07-27Chatelaillon?2nd2nd0
2026-02-06Argentan63rd3rd0
2025-12-22Bordeaux Le Bouscat?1st1st0
2025-10-20Les Sables?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0520/1027/0716/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/202512th14/126%0%-0.26
13/07/20257th33/10%50%+0.50
28/08/20256th7/163%67%+0.04
20/10/20254th33/10%82%+0.82
22/12/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
06/02/20263rd25/10%86%+0.86
27/07/20262nd14/126%90%+0.64
03/08/20264th5/174%57%-0.17
16/08/20263rd4/179%83%+0.04