3
Schlomo
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 80
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-08 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2025 | 5th | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 16/03/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 27/04/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 08/06/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 17/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |