5
Connor's Turn
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 28
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |