3
Hold The Phone
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 40
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength66%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-03-06 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength96%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2024 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 14/12/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/02/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 06/03/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |