4
Annagenda
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 70
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +12.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |