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2

Concrete Kid

3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 55

Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength98%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Finger Lakes 03/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS3/11C6C6 @ Finger Lakes 24/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 54 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/11/2025 · OR 54 par24/11C6OR 54C6 @ Finger Lakes 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 51 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 51 par15/06C6OR 51C6 @ Finger Lakes 07/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 55 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 55 par7/07C6OR 55C6 @ Finger Lakes 05/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 57 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 57 par5/08C6OR 57C6 @ Finger Lakes 26/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 56 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 56 par26/08C6OR 56projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Finger Lakes?5th2nd+3
2026-08-05Finger Lakes?6th3rd+3
2026-07-07Finger Lakes?2nd-1th+3
2026-06-15Finger Lakes?2nd-1th+3
2025-11-24Finger Lakes?6th3rd+3
2025-11-03Finger Lakes?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1124/1115/067/075/0826/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength84%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/11/20256th20/10%38%+0.38
24/11/20256th9/153%17%-0.36
15/06/20262nd3/184%80%-0.04
07/07/20262nd5/287%75%-0.12
05/08/20266th15/261%44%-0.16
26/08/20265th14/126%50%+0.24