7
Keep 'em Honest
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 45
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +23.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 02/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |