4
Allofasuddenlee
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 67
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength73%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/11/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 26/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |